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Alex Sidorenko Sam Savage

Quantifying Opportunities: Converting Business Plans into Risk Models for Greater Success

A Workshop by Sam Savage and Alex Sidorenko

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About this Workshop

Traditional way of planning is not good enough! The key to unlocking potential and achieving business goals often lies in embracing a more quantified and chance-driven approach. We'll explore a unique strategy to tackle complex business challenges.

  • Understanding the Importance of Chance-Based Planning: Discover why relying on single-number, average assumptions often leads to the Flaw of Averages, and learn the significance of converting business plans into risk models.
  • Converting Plans into Actionable Strategies: Using ChanceCalc, learn how to turn any business plan into a risk model. These models will provide insights into the probability of meeting your specific business objectives.
  • Estimating Opportunities and Risks: Master the art of estimating the chance that any business plan will meet its goals, and how this information can be used to optimize your strategies.
  • Practical Implementation: Real-life examples and hands-on exercises will guide you in applying these concepts to your organization's unique challenges and opportunities.
  • Future Planning and Strategy: Learn how to continually integrate these risk models into your ongoing strategic planning and decision-making processes, ensuring that your organization stays ahead of the curve.

By turning any business plan into a risk model, you'll gain insights into how to navigate the complexities and uncertainties of today's markets. Engaging, enlightening, and filled with actionable insights, this workshop will equip you with the knowledge and tools needed to thrive in the ever-changing world of business. Don't miss this opportunity to bring these innovative techniques into your own organization for greater success and growth. Register today to secure your spot!

About The Speakers

Sam Savage

Sam Savage

Executive Director, ProbabilityManagement.org

Dr. Sam L. Savage is Executive Director of ProbabilityManagement.org, a 501(c)(3) nonprofit devoted to standardizing the communication and calculation of uncertainty.


Alex Sidorenko

Alex Sidorenko

Head of Risk, Insurance and Internal Audit, Serra Verde

Experienced executive across strategic, investment and operational risks and insurance working within multibillion dollar corporations in Australia, GCC and Europe. Successfully implemented changes to quantitative risk analysis, risk-based decision making and neuroscience.

Alex Sidorenko